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The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel.
Whatever the macro-risk financial climate, evolving international economic trends and financial interconnections can create actionable opportunities and real risk management demands. The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel >>>
Investing.com: Sterling Struggles to Hold Gains after U.K. Jobs Report (10/09/19)
Yahoo Finance: Gold Steadies as Powell’s Inflation Quest Offsets Encouraging Jobs Report (04/10/19)
BBC Radio 4 Today programme: “ECB to do whatever it takes” - Lena Komileva, chief economist and managing director of G+ Economics, discusses what the ECB is likely to do, when interest rates are already negative. "There is a general agreement that the ECB has to follow up on reassuring words with action, a broad range of a blend of action, rates, asset purchases, guidance, a promise to do what ever it takes - again. It's clear that the ECB's toolkit is rather maxed out," she told BBC Radio 4's Today Programme.(12/09/19)
Germany’s Boersen Zeitung: “Rezessionsangste schuren Debatte uber Konjunkturstutze / Recession fears spur debate about economic stimulus” Lena Komileva speaks to Germany’s Boersen Zeitung chief economics correspondent Mark Schrörs together with Lucrezia Reichlin, Stefan Kooths, Stefan Schneider and Christoph Schmidt (23/08/19)
Bloomberg Businessweek: What a Yield-Curve Inversion Really Says About the U.S. Economy. A reliable recession indicator has lost some of its power to predict. (22/08/19)
FT: Germany confronts growing risk of economic slowdown (13/08/19)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva Says Wall of Liquidity Is Hitting Capital Markets (17/07/19)
Investing.com: Forex - Dollar Drops as Commodity Currencies Shine on Rate Outlook (12/07/2019)
In my closing address to the 2019 #FXBUYSIDE Europe Summit I argued that markets face a web of geo-economic risks:— Lena Komileva (@komileva) June 17, 2019
- Politics of debt
- Politics of FX
- Politics of protectionism
The war b/n reflationary fiscal deficits & contractionary econ wars will determine the growth outlook pic.twitter.com/rgoN4C0Pff
Bloomberg TV: Best Place Is in Cash at the Moment, Says G Plus Economics’s Komileva (10/06/19)
Marketwatch: Why the path for stocks and other markets now depend ‘critically on politics’ (10/06/19)
Bloomberg News: Stocks Advance, Peso Surges on Mexico Trade Relief (09/06/19)
Bloomberg TV: Economist Komileva Views U.S. 10-Year Yield as the 'New VIX’ - Lena Komileva, chief economist and managing director at G Plus Economics, discusses market signals from the declining U.S. 10-Year yield. She speaks with Bloomberg's Vonnie Quinn on "Bloomberg Markets." (Source: Bloomberg) (28/05/19)
Bloomberg TV: We Are in Extremely Binary Markets at the Moment, Says G Plus Economics’s Komileva (25/04/19)
MarketWatch: How far can stocks rally on dovish Fed? It depends on the data (31/01/19)
FT Market Forces: A weaker dollar favours risk appetite (31/01/19)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva, Todd on the Future of Brexit (16/01/19)
FT Market Forces: Investors in thrall of the market tug of war (07/01/19)
FT Market Insight: Market challenge for the Fed is just beginning (07/01/2019)
FT Market Forces: Investors in thrall of the market tug of war (07/01/2019)
Bloomberg Radio: Komileva says Tensions Between US and China Run Deep (03/12/2018)
FT: G20 caution leaves US stocks treading water (30/11/2018)
FT Market Forces: Ending November with markets stuck on hold (30/11/18)
MarketWatch: As Lighthizer predicts ‘success’ in Trump-Xi dinner, here’s what such an outcome might look like (30/11/2018)
FT: Wall St debates two words in Powell speech: 'just below' (28/11/2018)
EFE: La incertidumbre del Brexit pone en jaque a la economía británica (25/11/2018)
Bloomberg News: Pound Plunge Was Mere Prelude to What May Happen With No Deal (16/11/2018)
MarketWatch: Here's how Brexit turmoil could become a problem for US and global markets (16/11/2018)
FT: A Congress divided: Analysts explain what it means for Wall Street (07/11/2018)
FT: Dollar drops as midterm results dim stimulus hopes (07/11/2018)
MarketWatch: As election clouds clear, get ready for the rush back into US stocks (07/11/2018)
CNBC: Tax cuts have been controversial, but voters didn't seem to care about them (07/11/2018)
FT Market Forces: Gridlock - no escape from trade tension (06/11/18)
Bloomberg Radio: Bloomberg Daybreak with Karen Moskow and Nathan Hager (23/10/18)
Bloomberg TV: Fed Should Be Proceeding Towards Normalization Says G Plus' Komileva (04/07/18)
Reuters: Yields drop as US-China trade tension mounts (19/06/18)
Bloomberg TV: UK Parliament Set for Vote to Decide Brexit End Game (18/06/18)
Bloomberg: Taper Without the Tantrum as Draghi Pulls Off Virtuoso Performance (14/06/18)
FT: Euro under pressure as ECB delivers ‘dovish taper’ (14/06/18)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva says happy to let US economy run hot. Lena Komileva, chief economist at G Plus Economics, discusses Federal Reserve policy and inflation. She speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (28/05/18)
FT: Dollar near 2018 highs ahead of Fed meeting (01/05/18)
Reuters: After Carney surprise, chance of May BoE rate hike down but not out (25/04/18)
Barron’s “Up and Down Wall Street”: Does the Flattening Yield Curve Signal a Recession? (21/04/18)
FT: Fed’s rate signals belie benign financial conditions (22/03/18)
FT: US stocks gain traction on signs of North Korea progress (06/03/18)
Bloomberg Prophets: The Rules of the Game Are Changing for Investors (16/02/18)
Financial Times Insight: Why volatility is here to stay (12/02/18)
FT: European stocks on track for worst week in two years (09/02/18)
FT: US stocks may find support as S&P 500 tests key level (09/02/18)
FT: S&P 500 in correction territory as sell-off continues (08/02/18)
MarketWatch: Stock-market melt-up takes a timeout as bond yields rise (03/02/18)
Business Insider: Wall Street is watching a key recession indicator that keeps flashing (19/01/18)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: The Fed Is Losing Control of the Financial Markets (16/01/2018)
Asset TV: Masterclass Global Outlook - 2018
FT: Wall Street struggles to extend new year rally (08/01/18)
Bloomberg TV: What are the biggest risks facing markets in 2018? (01/01/18)
Bloomberg Best - Radio: The outlook for 2018 (28/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva Says Markets in State of “Rational Exuberance” (28/12/17)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: Stocks and Bonds Are Sending the Correct Signals (15/12/17)
WSJ: As Fed Tightens, Europe Hangs Loose (14/12/17)
FT: Yellen kept markets calm but 2018 may be rockier (13/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+’ Komileva Says BOE Is in 'Holding Period' on Rates (13/12/17)
Milano Finanza: May in limbo, pound under pressure (14/11/2017)
Dow Jones Newswires: BoE Risks Weak Growth, High Inflation, After Rate Rise: G+ Economics (14/11/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Sterling Price Doesn't Reflect "Extreme" Scenarios - Market Talk (13/11/17)
5 Mega-Trends that will Define the Future of #Finance - outlined by @komileva— CFA Institute® (@CFAinstitute) November 16, 2017
1. Macro-Market Liquidity and Cost of Risk
2. Demographics, Productivity and Economic Imbalances
4. Geopolitics of De-globalisation
5. Regulation and Systemic Risk #EICBerlin @FutureFinance pic.twitter.com/dqJYrdRWfU
MarketWatch: Here’s why investors look too complacent about the Powell Fed (14/11/17)
Barron’s: How the Powell Fed Will Be Tested (11/11/17)
DowJones Newswires: ECB Must Strike Right Balance in Scaling Back Bond Purchases (24/10/17)
Bloomberg: Draghi's Soft Euro Talk Suggests He's Holding Back the Magic (07/09/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Mario Draghi Says ECB Held Talks on Future of Stimulus (07/09/17)
BBC Radio 4 Today: Eurozone looking healthy (01/09/17)
Investing.com: Are central banks blowing a bond bubble? (21/08/17)
Financial Times Auther's Note: Better left unsaid (26/08/17)
DJ News: Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi Warn Against Regulatory Cuts, Trade Moves (26/08/17)
Dow Jones: Draghi Holds Off on Monetary Policy Clues, Criticizes Deregulation Push (25/08/17)
FT: Euro above $1.19 after Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech (25/08/17)
Bloomberg TV: G Plus' Komileva - Markets Unprepared for Normalization (10/08/17)