The art of investment is combining a top-down network approach with a bottom-up model-based understanding of economic interactions.
We deliver industry-leading economic insight on where the returns lie and what the risks are, through client-driven consultancy at market cost.
Our research and consultancy service is founded on three fundamental pillars:
Our market economics proposition is unique in the independent economic research world. It has become an industry benchmark, disrupting traditional disconnected research specialisms in an interconnected and reflexive global financial eco-system.
Our track record of outperforming institutional analytical models spans over two decades. It is built on accurate market analysis, consensus-leading policy predictions and timely foresight on the drivers and consequences of the Global Financial Crisis, across core economies, public finances, central bank policy and asset class themes.
Our depth is not measured by the ammount of detail we include in our research but by the longevity and impact of our core convictions. Our research is regularly flagged by clients as a guide for future thought development. We are committed to our proposition of economic rigour, market scope and research value.
An established track record and strong client relationships based on trust contribute half of the success of a macro-financial research product. The other half is less visible but crucial – market competence, analytical performance and client process functionality. That’s what makes a valuable client service.
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In a MiFID II unbundled-research world, traditional investment insight delivery channels are becoming disrupted. New aggregator models encourage increased supply traffic, driving up opportunity costs for clients as subscription costs are locked in.
At the same time, traditional dealer research providers are cutting back on research cost and expert staffing, driving down quality, breadth and depth. Assuming a transparent bank pricing model, a typical research report would incur a client cost in the range of £1,350-2500 based on a two-analyst effort, or £55,000 per day based on a typical 40-analyst bank research group (2017 estimates). Potential disruption to meeting client research needs for the purpose of asset allocation decisions could be much costlier.
We have a different cost model and a direct application into clients’ treasury management and asset allocation decisions. Our clients to receive insight in a structured, auditable and transparent way, consistent with their own compliance obligations and the highest professional ethical standards.
Our fintech solutions mean that our clients are fully compliant with incoming regulation. Our clients’ efficiency gains are commensurate to the scale of market disruption and marginal compliance costs.
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Whatever the macro-risk financial climate, the evolution of international economic trends and financial interconnections can alter macro-financial relationships. Our focus is on indentifying actionable opportunities, and real risks, across the economic, geopolitical, technological, environment and social spectrum.
The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel.
Whatever the macro-risk financial climate, evolving international economic trends and financial interconnections can create actionable opportunities and real risk management demands. The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel >>>
Investing.com: Forex - Dollar Drops as Commodity Currencies Shine on Rate Outlook (12/07/2019)
MarketWatch: How far can stocks rally on dovish Fed? It depends on the data (31/01/19)
FT Market Forces: A weaker dollar favours risk appetite (31/01/19)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva, Todd on the Future of Brexit (16/01/19)
FT Market Forces: Investors in thrall of the market tug of war (07/01/19)
FT Market Insight: Market challenge for the Fed is just beginning (07/01/2019)
FT Market Forces: Investors in thrall of the market tug of war (07/01/2019)
Bloomberg Radio: Komileva says Tensions Between US and China Run Deep (03/12/2018)
FT: G20 caution leaves US stocks treading water (30/11/2018)
FT Market Forces: Ending November with markets stuck on hold (30/11/18)
MarketWatch: As Lighthizer predicts ‘success’ in Trump-Xi dinner, here’s what such an outcome might look like (30/11/2018)
FT: Wall St debates two words in Powell speech: 'just below' (28/11/2018)
EFE: La incertidumbre del Brexit pone en jaque a la economía británica (25/11/2018)
Bloomberg News: Pound Plunge Was Mere Prelude to What May Happen With No Deal (16/11/2018)
MarketWatch: Here's how Brexit turmoil could become a problem for US and global markets (16/11/2018)
FT: A Congress divided: Analysts explain what it means for Wall Street (07/11/2018)
FT: Dollar drops as midterm results dim stimulus hopes (07/11/2018)
MarketWatch: As election clouds clear, get ready for the rush back into US stocks (07/11/2018)
CNBC: Tax cuts have been controversial, but voters didn't seem to care about them (07/11/2018)
FT Market Forces: Gridlock - no escape from trade tension (06/11/18)
Bloomberg Radio: Bloomberg Daybreak with Karen Moskow and Nathan Hager (23/10/18)
Bloomberg TV: Fed Should Be Proceeding Towards Normalization Says G Plus' Komileva (04/07/18)
Reuters: Yields drop as US-China trade tension mounts (19/06/18)
Bloomberg TV: UK Parliament Set for Vote to Decide Brexit End Game (18/06/18)
Bloomberg: Taper Without the Tantrum as Draghi Pulls Off Virtuoso Performance (14/06/18)
FT: Euro under pressure as ECB delivers ‘dovish taper’ (14/06/18)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva says happy to let US economy run hot. Lena Komileva, chief economist at G Plus Economics, discusses Federal Reserve policy and inflation. She speaks on "Bloomberg Surveillance." (28/05/18)
FT: Dollar near 2018 highs ahead of Fed meeting (01/05/18)
Reuters: After Carney surprise, chance of May BoE rate hike down but not out (25/04/18)
Barron’s “Up and Down Wall Street”: Does the Flattening Yield Curve Signal a Recession? (21/04/18)
FT: Fed’s rate signals belie benign financial conditions (22/03/18)
FT: US stocks gain traction on signs of North Korea progress (06/03/18)
Bloomberg Prophets: The Rules of the Game Are Changing for Investors (16/02/18)
Financial Times Insight: Why volatility is here to stay (12/02/18)
FT: European stocks on track for worst week in two years (09/02/18)
FT: US stocks may find support as S&P 500 tests key level (09/02/18)
FT: S&P 500 in correction territory as sell-off continues (08/02/18)
MarketWatch: Stock-market melt-up takes a timeout as bond yields rise (03/02/18)
Business Insider: Wall Street is watching a key recession indicator that keeps flashing (19/01/18)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: The Fed Is Losing Control of the Financial Markets (16/01/2018)
Asset TV: Masterclass Global Outlook - 2018
FT: Wall Street struggles to extend new year rally (08/01/18)
Bloomberg TV: What are the biggest risks facing markets in 2018? (01/01/18)
Bloomberg Best - Radio: The outlook for 2018 (28/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva Says Markets in State of “Rational Exuberance” (28/12/17)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: Stocks and Bonds Are Sending the Correct Signals (15/12/17)
WSJ: As Fed Tightens, Europe Hangs Loose (14/12/17)
FT: Yellen kept markets calm but 2018 may be rockier (13/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+’ Komileva Says BOE Is in 'Holding Period' on Rates (13/12/17)
Milano Finanza: May in limbo, pound under pressure (14/11/2017)
Dow Jones Newswires: BoE Risks Weak Growth, High Inflation, After Rate Rise: G+ Economics (14/11/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Sterling Price Doesn't Reflect "Extreme" Scenarios - Market Talk (13/11/17)
5 Mega-Trends that will Define the Future of #Finance - outlined by @komileva— CFA Institute® (@CFAinstitute) November 16, 2017
1. Macro-Market Liquidity and Cost of Risk
2. Demographics, Productivity and Economic Imbalances
4. Geopolitics of De-globalisation
5. Regulation and Systemic Risk #EICBerlin @FutureFinance pic.twitter.com/dqJYrdRWfU
MarketWatch: Here’s why investors look too complacent about the Powell Fed (14/11/17)
Barron’s: How the Powell Fed Will Be Tested (11/11/17)
DowJones Newswires: ECB Must Strike Right Balance in Scaling Back Bond Purchases (24/10/17)
Bloomberg: Draghi's Soft Euro Talk Suggests He's Holding Back the Magic (07/09/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Mario Draghi Says ECB Held Talks on Future of Stimulus (07/09/17)
BBC Radio 4 Today: Eurozone looking healthy (01/09/17)
Investing.com: Are central banks blowing a bond bubble? (21/08/17)
Financial Times Auther's Note: Better left unsaid (26/08/17)
DJ News: Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi Warn Against Regulatory Cuts, Trade Moves (26/08/17)
Dow Jones: Draghi Holds Off on Monetary Policy Clues, Criticizes Deregulation Push (25/08/17)
FT: Euro above $1.19 after Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech (25/08/17)
Bloomberg TV: G Plus' Komileva - Markets Unprepared for Normalization (10/08/17)