The art of investment is combining a top-down network approach with a bottom-up model-based understanding of economic interactions.
We deliver industry-leading economic insight on where the returns lie and what the risks are, through client-driven consultancy at market cost.
Our research and consultancy service is founded on three fundamental pillars:
Our market economics proposition is unique in the independent economic research world. It has become an industry benchmark over the past decade, disrupting institutional disconnected research specialisms in an interconnected and reflexive global financial eco-system.
Our track record of outperforming institutional analytical models spans over two decades. It is built on accurate market analysis, consensus-leading policy predictions and timely foresight on the drivers and consequences of the Global Financial Crisis, across core economies, public finances, central bank policy and asset class themes.
Our depth is not measured by the ammount of detail we include in our research but by the longevity and impact of our core convictions. Our research is regularly flagged by clients as a guide for future thought development. Our client proposition of economic rigour, market scope and research cost remains unmatched.
An established track record and strong client relationships based on trust contribute half of the success of a macro-financial research product. The other half is less visible but crucial – market competence, analytical performance and client process functionality. That’s what makes a valuable client service.
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In a MiFID II unbundled-research world, traditional investment insight delivery channels are becoming disrupted. New aggregator models encourage increased supply traffic, driving up opportunity costs for clients as subscription costs are locked in.
At the same time, traditional dealer research providers are cutting back on research cost and expert staffing, driving down quality, breadth and depth. Assuming a transparent bank pricing model, a typical research report would incur a client cost in the range of £1,350-2500 based on a two-analyst effort, or £55,000 per day based on a typical 40-analyst bank research group. Potential disruption to meeting client research needs for the purpose of asset allocation decisions could be much costlier.
We have a different cost model and a direct application into clients’ treasury management and asset allocation decisions. Our clients to receive insight in a structured, auditable and transparent way, consistent with their own compliance obligations and the highest professional ethical standards.
Our fintech solutions mean that our clients are fully compliant with incoming regulation. Our clients’ efficiency gains are commensurate to the scale of market disruption and marginal compliance costs.
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Whatever the macro-risk financial climate, the evolution of international economic trends and financial interconnections can alter macro-financial relationships. Our focus is on indentifying actionable opportunities, and real risks, across the economic, geopolitical, technological, environment and social spectrum.
The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel.
Whatever the macro-risk financial climate, evolving international economic trends and financial interconnections can create actionable opportunities and real risks. The art of successful investing is predicting the direction of macro risk travel >>>
FT: US stocks gain traction on signs of North Korea progress (06/03/18)
Bloomberg Prophets: The Rules of the Game Are Changing for Investors (16/02/18)
Financial Times Insight: Why volatility is here to stay (12/02/18)
FT: European stocks on track for worst week in two years (09/02/18)
FT: US stocks may find support as S&P 500 tests key level (09/02/18)
FT: S&P 500 in correction territory as sell-off continues (08/02/18)
MarketWatch: Stock-market melt-up takes a timeout as bond yields rise (03/02/18)
Business Insider: Wall Street is watching a key recession indicator that keeps flashing (19/01/18)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: The Fed Is Losing Control of the Financial Markets (16/01/2018)
Asset TV: Masterclass Global Outlook
FT: Wall Street struggles to extend new year rally (08/01/18)
Bloomberg TV: What are the biggest risks facing markets in 2018? (01/01/18)
Bloomberg Best - Radio: The outlook for 2018 (28/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva Says Markets in State of “Rational Exuberance” (28/12/17)
Bloomberg Opinion | Prophets: Stocks and Bonds Are Sending the Correct Signals (15/12/17)
WSJ: As Fed Tightens, Europe Hangs Loose (14/12/17)
FT: Yellen kept markets calm but 2018 may be rockier (13/12/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+’ Komileva Says BOE Is in 'Holding Period' on Rates (13/12/17)
Milano Finanza: May in limbo, pound under pressure (14/11/2017)
Dow Jones Newswires: BoE Risks Weak Growth, High Inflation, After Rate Rise: G+ Economics (14/11/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Sterling Price Doesn't Reflect "Extreme" Scenarios - Market Talk (13/11/17)
5 Mega-Trends that will Define the Future of #Finance - outlined by @komileva— CFA Institute® (@CFAinstitute) November 16, 2017
1. Macro-Market Liquidity and Cost of Risk
2. Demographics, Productivity and Economic Imbalances
4. Geopolitics of De-globalisation
5. Regulation and Systemic Risk #EICBerlin @FutureFinance pic.twitter.com/dqJYrdRWfU
MarketWatch: Here’s why investors look too complacent about the Powell Fed (14/11/17)
Barron’s: How the Powell Fed Will Be Tested (11/11/17)
DowJones Newswires: ECB Must Strike Right Balance in Scaling Back Bond Purchases (24/10/17)
Bloomberg: Draghi's Soft Euro Talk Suggests He's Holding Back the Magic (07/09/17)
Dow Jones Newswires: Mario Draghi Says ECB Held Talks on Future of Stimulus (07/09/17)
BBC Radio 4 Today: Eurozone looking healthy (01/09/17)
Investing.com: Are central banks blowing a bond bubble? (21/08/17)
Financial Times Auther's Note: Better left unsaid (26/08/17)
DJ News: Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi Warn Against Regulatory Cuts, Trade Moves (26/08/17)
Dow Jones: Draghi Holds Off on Monetary Policy Clues, Criticizes Deregulation Push (25/08/17)
FT: Euro above $1.19 after Draghi’s Jackson Hole speech (25/08/17)
Bloomberg TV: G Plus' Komileva - Markets Unprepared for Normalization (10/08/17)
FT: Dollar claws back early Fed-driven losses (27/07/17)
FT: Dollar finds support as attention turns to Yellen testimony (11/07/17)
WSJ: 投資者關注點從美聯儲轉向歐洲央行後者暗示退出刺激政策- 華爾街日報 (11/07/17)
Reuters: Euro zone bond yields resume rise as focus shifts to Fed's unwind (11/07/17)
FT: US stocks and dollar find support from jobs report (07/07/17)
FT: Markets are missing the real message from central banks (06/07/17)
Reuters: Wie sage ich es den Märkten? EZB & Co bereiten Wende vor (05/07/17)
FT Global Markets Overview: Pound holds above lows as Brexit talks begin (20/06/17)
Guardian: Markets slide after weak UK retail sales and interest rate split (15/06/17)
Bloomberg: End of U.K. Austerity Looms After Voters Reject May (13/06/17)
MarketWatch: The ECB just took a ‘baby step’ toward reducing stimulus (08/06/17)
WSJ: European Central Bank holds line on monetary stimulus (29/05/17)
MarketWatch: FTSE 100 wobbles with OPEC decision in focus; British growth slows (25/05/2017)
BBC News: UK economy grows by 0.3% as service sector slows (28/04/17)
Bloomberg: Draghi Sets ECB Up for Six Weeks of Chatter (27/04/17)
Il Sole 24 Ore: Draghi: il Qe va avanti, inflazione ancora bassa (27/04/2017)
WSJ: ECB Gives No Indication It's Ready to End Easy Money (27/04/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+' Komileva Sees No Market Slowdown on Horizon (26/04/17)
Reuters: As France votes, Le Pen still worries markets more than the 90 percent taxman (20/04/2017)
FT: Stocks retreat amid earnings and geopolitical concerns (19/04/17)
Sky News – Ian King: UK retail sales fall as inflation bites (11/04/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+' Komileva Says Fed Stance Extremely Accommodative (28/03/17)
The Guardian: Stocks rise but dollar slides after Federal Reserve raises US interest rates - as it happened (15/03/17)
FT: Dollar under pressure after US jobs report (11/03/17)
MarketWatch: Central banks are taking off the market’s training wheels ECB’s gentle nudge shows just how dominant monetary policy has been in last half decade: Komileva (10/03/17)
Bloomberg TV: G+ Economics' Komileva Says Markets Living in Bubble (08/03/17)
FT Blogs: Spring Budget speech 2017 - as it happened (08/03/17)
DJ/WSJ: As Eurozone Economy Strengthens, Divisions Within ECB Re-emerge (07/03/17)
InsuranceAge: UK Broker Summit 2017: Economist advises brokers to prepare (02/03/2017)
FT: Global stocks at record highs as financials gain (15/02/17)
FT: Dollar index sinks to 2.5-month low, while gold shines (02/02/2017)
Bloomberg TV: Komileva: Markets Are at an Important Transition Point. Lena Komileva, G Plus Economics chief economist, discusses investor reaction to President Donald Trump's policies. (30/01/2017)
Bloomberg TV: How Important Are U.S. Trade Relations to the U.K.? (30/01/2017)
MarketWatch: Stock market closes lower, spooked by Trump immigration ban (30/01/17)